Costa Tropical vs Otura CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
15.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Tropical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 1
ADF
50%
21%
29%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ADF
0 - 2
SAN
43%
22%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VAN
3 - 1
ADF
37%
22%
42%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ADF
1 - 0
ALM
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ZUB
4 - 0
ADF
33%
21%
46%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Otura CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
OTU
1 - 4
SAL
71%
17%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 2
OTU
38%
23%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
OTU
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
OTU
0 - 1
SAN
23%
22%
55%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VAN
3 - 2
OTU
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |