Costa Tropical vs Almuñecar City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Tropical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ZUB
4 - 0
ADF
33%
21%
46%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ADF
3 - 1
ALF
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PUR
5 - 2
ADF
12%
16%
72%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ADF
4 - 0
PMO
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CUL
0 - 4
ADF
22%
20%
59%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Almuñecar City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ALM
3 - 0
SAL
35%
23%
42%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
OTU
4 - 3
ALM
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 4
GUA
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 0
ALM
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 1
VAN
23%
21%
56%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |