Costa Tropical vs Atlético Monachil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Tropical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
ADF
21%
19%
59%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ADF
8 - 2
ALO
71%
15%
13%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 2
ADF
10%
15%
76%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ADF
2 - 0
MED
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 6
ADF
13%
16%
71%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Monachil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 3
MON
41%
23%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MON
9 - 0
CDD
72%
17%
12%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 0
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CUL
1 - 1
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
SAN
15%
20%
65%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +2 |