Adepo-Palomeras vs Nueva Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adepo-Palomeras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RAY
3 - 3
ADP
32%
22%
45%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ADP
0 - 1
RVM
48%
21%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ADP
2 - 2
FIV
60%
18%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
UES
1 - 3
ADP
31%
20%
49%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
TAJ
3 - 7
ADP
47%
23%
31%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Nueva Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
NCA
3 - 1
LMR
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
NBT
4 - 0
NCA
81%
12%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TOL
0 - 1
NCA
60%
19%
21%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
ESP
1 - 1
NCA
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NCA
2 - 1
FRV
24%
20%
56%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +2 |