Adeli vs Merani Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adeli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
IME
2 - 0
ADE
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 1
SUL
35%
25%
41%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 5
MES
47%
23%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
CHK
2 - 0
ADE
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
ADE
3 - 3
LOK
38%
26%
37%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 2
CHK
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 4
STU
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 1
MES
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
IME
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 1
SUL
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |