Adeli vs Mertskhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
38.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adeli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 0
ADE
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
ADE
0 - 1
SAM
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 1
ADE
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
ADE
1 - 3
LOK
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
KOL
1 - 0
ADE
65%
21%
15%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
ACH
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALG
3 - 1
MER
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
MER
0 - 0
SAM
25%
23%
51%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
SAM
3 - 1
MER
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
ADE
3 - 0
MER
30%
22%
48%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |