Adeli vs Matchakhela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
55.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adeli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2015 |
STU
2 - 0
ADE
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
ADE
2 - 1
SAS
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
4 - 1
ADE
68%
20%
13%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
ADE
0 - 2
LAZ
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
ADE
0 - 2
SAM
18%
21%
62%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Matchakhela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 0
CHK
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
STU
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
SAS
2 - 3
MAT
61%
21%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LOK
6 - 0
MAT
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 0
CHI
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |