Adelaide United vs Western United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
9º
3º
30
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 1
SYD
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
WES
2 - 3
ADE
32%
26%
43%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
ADE
5 - 1
WPH
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 4
ADE
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 2
MCI
33%
25%
41%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
WUF
0 - 3
CCM
38%
26%
35%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 3
WUF
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 0
WUF
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 2
WUF
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
WUF
2 - 1
PER
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |