Adelaide United vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
10º
1º
21
6º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 43 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 40 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 38 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 38 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 24 |
11º
|
65% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
89% | 8% |
|
Next round
|
11% | 29% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 63% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 3
SYD
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
CCM
0 - 4
ADE
51%
23%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
ADE
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 2
PER
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 3
ADE
28%
24%
49%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
WES
4 - 1
WPH
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
WES
2 - 2
BRI
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MCI
0 - 2
WES
56%
22%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SYD
4 - 2
WES
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
WES
4 - 1
NEW
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |