Adelaide United vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
8º
6º
21
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
3.5% | 12.5% |
|
Next round
|
58.5% | 72.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SYD
2 - 1
ADE
48%
24%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 3
PER
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 4
CCM
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
MCI
1 - 0
ADE
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ADE
4 - 3
SYD
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CCM
1 - 0
WES
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
WES
3 - 3
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
4 - 3
WES
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
WUF
0 - 1
WES
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
WES
1 - 2
PER
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |