Adelaide United vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
9º
3º
41
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WUF
2 - 3
ADE
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ADE
2 - 1
BRI
52%
25%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 3
ADE
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 0
MFC
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 1
MEL
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WES
0 - 1
SYD
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WES
1 - 0
WUF
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CCM
2 - 2
WES
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 1
WES
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
WES
1 - 1
MCI
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |