Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ADE
0 - 3
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 1
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CCM
3 - 2
ADE
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
ADE
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 1
BRI
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
WPH
3 - 1
MEL
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 1
WPH
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 1
WPH
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
WPH
0 - 1
PER
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
WPH
4 - 2
SYD
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |