Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
GOL
0 - 0
ADE
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ADE
1 - 2
CCM
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
ADE
8 - 1
NOR
66%
22%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 4
ADE
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
ADE
0 - 1
BRI
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
WPH
1 - 0
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
BRI
2 - 0
WPH
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
WPH
4 - 0
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CCM
1 - 0
WPH
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
WPH
2 - 0
MEL
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |