Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
GOL
0 - 0
ADE
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2010 |
SYD
1 - 2
ADE
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
ADE
2 - 0
PER
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BRI
1 - 1
ADE
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
ADE
2 - 1
NEW
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
WPH
2 - 2
MEL
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
GOL
3 - 1
WPH
45%
28%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
WPH
2 - 1
NOR
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 1
WPH
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 0
WPH
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |