Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
BRI
1 - 1
ADE
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
ADE
1 - 0
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2008 |
CHA
0 - 0
ADE
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
ADE
1 - 0
POH
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
ADE
4 - 1
BIN
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
WPH
2 - 4
MEL
41%
27%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
WPH
1 - 1
BRI
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
CCM
2 - 0
WPH
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2008 |
MEL
3 - 0
WPH
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2008 |
WPH
0 - 2
SYD
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |