Adelaide United vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
ADE
1 - 1
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
ADE
1 - 1
SYD
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
0 - 2
ADE
6%
14%
80%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
API
0 - 2
ADE
10%
17%
73%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
QUE
0 - 1
ADE
7%
15%
78%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SYD
2 - 0
WES
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
ADE
1 - 1
SYD
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
WES
0 - 3
SYD
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
AVH
2 - 4
SYD
5%
13%
83%
|
80 | 38 | 42 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
FNQ
1 - 2
SYD
4%
11%
85%
|
74 | 21 | 53 | +6 |