A-League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Adelaide United vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
SYD
2 - 1
ADE
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
NZK
1 - 1
ADE
23%
24%
52%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 1
CCM
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
PER
1 - 2
ADE
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
SYD
2 - 1
ADE
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
PER
1 - 2
SYD
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
BRI
2 - 1
SYD
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
SYD
1 - 1
CCM
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2006 |
SYD
0 - 0
NEW
52%
24%
23%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |