Adelaide United vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 1
ADE
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ADE
1 - 4
PER
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 0
ADE
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
ADE
0 - 0
SYD
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
NEW
2 - 3
ADE
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 1
PER
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
SOU
3 - 1
PAP
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
SOU
0 - 1
SYD
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SFC
3 - 0
SOU
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
NEW
2 - 0
SOU
44%
25%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |