Adelaide United vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
ADE
5 - 1
NEW
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
NZK
1 - 0
ADE
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
MEL
2 - 0
ADE
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ADE
0 - 1
CCM
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
SYD
2 - 1
ADE
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PER
1 - 1
SYD
41%
25%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
PER
2 - 0
CCM
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
BRI
3 - 0
PER
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 3
PER
33%
27%
41%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
PER
1 - 2
SYD
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |