Adelaide United vs NZ Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
MEL
0 - 1
ADE
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
ADE
3 - 1
CCM
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 4
SYD
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 0
ADE
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ADE
3 - 0
PER
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 0
NZK
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
PER
1 - 0
NZK
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
NZK
0 - 1
CCM
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2006 |
NZK
0 - 1
SYD
17%
23%
60%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
BRI
5 - 0
NZK
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |