Adelaide United vs North Queensland Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 4
ADE
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
ADE
0 - 1
BRI
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
ADE
2 - 0
SYD
52%
26%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
CCM
2 - 0
ADE
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
PER
4 - 2
ADE
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
North Queensland Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
GOL
4 - 0
NOR
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 3
NEW
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 0
NOR
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 1
WPH
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
CCM
1 - 0
NOR
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |