Adelaide United vs North Queensland Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
ADE
0 - 2
GOL
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SYD
1 - 0
ADE
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
ADE
1 - 0
PER
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 0
ADE
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ADE
1 - 0
BRI
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
North Queensland Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 1
MEL
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
GOL
5 - 0
NOR
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 3
SYD
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |