Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
10º
1º
12
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
28 | 49 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 45 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 43 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 41 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 40 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 26 |
11º
|
71.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
13º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
78% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
20% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SYD
4 - 1
ADE
48%
23%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
ADE
2 - 2
AFC
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 23 | 51 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ADE
3 - 2
MEL
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
WPH
1 - 2
ADE
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
MFC
1 - 2
ADE
44%
24%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CCM
2 - 2
NEW
69%
19%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
NEW
2 - 2
PER
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
WUF
3 - 1
NEW
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NEW
1 - 3
MFC
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
BRI
0 - 1
NEW
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |