Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
ADE
5 - 0
WHI
90%
9%
1%
|
72 | 14 | 58 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
ADE
0 - 1
JIA
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
GAM
3 - 3
ADE
20%
22%
58%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ADE
2 - 2
WES
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
JEJ
1 - 3
ADE
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SYD
2 - 0
NEW
67%
20%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CCM
2 - 0
NEW
46%
25%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 3
WES
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
WPH
5 - 0
NEW
50%
24%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MCI
4 - 0
NEW
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |