Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
WPH
1 - 1
ADE
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
ADE
2 - 1
GOL
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
ADE
1 - 1
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
BRI
7 - 1
ADE
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ADE
1 - 2
SYD
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 2
BRI
29%
27%
45%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
MEL
3 - 0
NEW
51%
27%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 0
PER
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GOL
3 - 1
NEW
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 0
CCM
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |