Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SYD
1 - 3
ADE
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 3
ADE
50%
28%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
ADE
3 - 2
MEL
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CCM
1 - 1
ADE
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
ADE
0 - 0
NEW
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
NEW
0 - 0
BRI
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
PER
1 - 0
NEW
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 1
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
ADE
0 - 0
NEW
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
WPH
3 - 1
NEW
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |