Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 1
ADE
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
ADE
1 - 1
GOL
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
ADE
0 - 2
BRI
46%
26%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CCM
0 - 0
ADE
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 1
ADE
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SYD
1 - 3
NEW
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
WPH
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 0
NOR
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
WPH
3 - 0
NEW
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
BRI
1 - 1
NEW
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |