Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 1
NZK
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 3
MEL
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
CCM
2 - 0
ADE
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
SYD
2 - 1
ADE
45%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 1
ADE
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 3
NEW
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
NZK
1 - 1
NEW
25%
25%
49%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
MEL
0 - 1
NEW
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
PER
2 - 1
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 1
CCM
36%
29%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |