Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
PER
5 - 3
ADE
35%
26%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ADE
2 - 0
MCI
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
WUF
0 - 0
ADE
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
MCI
2 - 2
ADE
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
ADE
1 - 1
SYD
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 3
BRI
46%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ULS
3 - 0
MEL
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
MEL
2 - 1
FCS
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 2
MEL
39%
23%
38%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 2
BEI
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |