Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 2
ADE
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
WPH
1 - 1
ADE
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
HEU
0 - 3
ADE
8%
15%
77%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
ADE
3 - 0
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
ADE
1 - 0
NEW
63%
20%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 2
MCI
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 1
SYD
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
ADE
3 - 0
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
OAK
2 - 5
MEL
5%
12%
82%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 5
MEL
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |