Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ADE
3 - 1
PER
50%
25%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ADE
1 - 2
BRI
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PER
1 - 1
ADE
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ADE
0 - 2
CCM
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
ADE
1 - 1
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 0
MEL
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CCM
1 - 0
MEL
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 1
PER
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
WPH
2 - 3
MEL
37%
26%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 3
PER
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |