Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ADE
2 - 4
WES
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
CCM
3 - 1
ADE
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 0
ADE
40%
29%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
ADE
3 - 2
PER
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 0
ADE
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 1
MEL
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
3 - 1
SYD
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PER
0 - 1
MEL
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
CCM
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 0
WPH
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |