A-League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 0-6Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 Jan. 2009 |
CCM
0 - 1
ADE
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
18 Jan. 2009 |
WPH
1 - 1
ADE
39%
29%
32%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
14 Jan. 2009 |
ADE
0 - 0
BRI
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
09 Jan. 2009 |
ADE
2 - 0
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
06 Jan. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 0
ADE
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Jan. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 0
WPH
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
16 Jan. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 0
CCM
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
11 Jan. 2009 |
PER
3 - 2
MEL
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
06 Jan. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 0
ADE
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
02 Jan. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
BRI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |