Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
SYD
2 - 2
ADE
55%
25%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 2
ADE
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
ADE
3 - 0
LON
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
SHA
2 - 2
ADE
87%
9%
4%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
SEO
1 - 0
ADE
70%
17%
13%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 0
PER
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
WPH
2 - 2
MEL
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
MEL
6 - 0
ADE
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
MEL
2 - 1
ADE
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ADE
0 - 0
MEL
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |