Adelaide United vs Melbourne Heart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
BRI
7 - 1
ADE
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ADE
1 - 2
SYD
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PER
1 - 0
ADE
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ADE
2 - 3
GOL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
SYD
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 0
MEL
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 2
PER
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
3 - 2
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
SYD
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |