Adelaide United vs Melbourne Heart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
ADE
2 - 0
NOR
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
WPH
2 - 1
ADE
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
ADE
2 - 1
GOL
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 2
ADE
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
NEW
3 - 1
ADE
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 3
MEL
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 2
NEW
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
GOL
3 - 0
MEL
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 0
SYD
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
WPH
2 - 0
MEL
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |