Adelaide United vs Melbourne Heart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CCM
1 - 1
ADE
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
ADE
0 - 0
NEW
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
ADE
2 - 0
WPH
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
ADE
2 - 3
JEO
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
ADE
0 - 1
SHA
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 1
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 1
CCM
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 2
EVE
19%
25%
56%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | +1 |