Adelaide United vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MCI
2 - 1
ADE
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
ADE
2 - 3
SYD
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
CCM
1 - 2
ADE
24%
22%
54%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
ADE
1 - 0
NEW
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
ADE
6 - 0
ADE
88%
10%
2%
|
74 | 27 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MCI
2 - 1
ADE
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MEL
0 - 0
MCI
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 5
MCI
5%
11%
85%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
MCI
3 - 0
WES
46%
24%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
MCI
4%
11%
85%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | 0 |