Adelaide United vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 0
ADE
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
ADE
2 - 1
BRI
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
WPH
1 - 3
ADE
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ADE
0 - 2
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CCM
0 - 3
ADE
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
MCI
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MCI
3 - 0
NEW
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BRI
2 - 0
MCI
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
MCI
2 - 0
WPH
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
MCI
0 - 3
SYD
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |