AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Adelaide United vs Kashima Antlers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SYD
3 - 0
ADE
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
KAA
1 - 1
ADE
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 0
ADE
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ADE
3 - 0
WPH
59%
24%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
BRI
1 - 1
ADE
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kashima Antlers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
KAR
1 - 1
KAA
30%
26%
45%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
KAA
1 - 1
ADE
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
KAA
1 - 1
KAW
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
VIS
1 - 2
KAA
31%
26%
44%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
KAA
1 - 2
NAG
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |