Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BRI
2 - 1
ADE
23%
24%
53%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ADE
3 - 1
MCI
40%
25%
36%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
WUF
3 - 4
ADE
49%
24%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
PER
3 - 0
ADE
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
NEW
4 - 3
CCM
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CCM
1 - 3
WES
31%
24%
44%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CCM
0 - 1
BRI
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
WUF
3 - 0
CCM
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CCM
3 - 2
MEL
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |