Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
PER
0 - 0
ADE
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
WES
1 - 2
ADE
35%
27%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
SYD
2 - 1
ADE
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
ADE
2 - 0
MEL
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ADE
0 - 0
WPH
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
CCM
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CCM
1 - 1
BRI
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
CCM
2 - 1
MCI
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
WPH
3 - 2
CCM
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2019 |
SYD
5 - 2
CCM
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |