Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 4
SYD
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 0
ADE
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ADE
3 - 0
PER
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
ADE
5 - 1
NEW
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
NZK
1 - 0
ADE
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
NZK
0 - 1
CCM
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
CCM
1 - 1
NEW
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
MEL
1 - 0
CCM
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CCM
0 - 0
BRI
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
PER
2 - 0
CCM
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |