Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
8º
6º
17
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
3.5% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
58.5% | 27.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 71.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
MFC
4 - 3
ADE
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
WUF
1 - 3
ADE
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 5
SYD
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 1
ADE
40%
25%
36%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ADE
6 - 0
MCI
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 2
WES
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 1
PER
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CCM
1 - 2
BRI
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
WPH
5 - 2
BRI
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 0
SYD
35%
27%
37%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +2 |