Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 3
ADE
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
ADE
2 - 0
WPH
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
SYD
2 - 2
ADE
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
ADE
0 - 3
GOL
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
ADE
51%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
PER
3 - 3
BRI
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BRI
3 - 1
MEL
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
GOL
1 - 0
BRI
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BRI
1 - 2
CCM
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
WPH
2 - 0
BRI
39%
26%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |