Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MEL
4 - 0
ADE
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
ADE
0 - 2
MEL
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CCM
0 - 1
ADE
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
WPH
1 - 1
ADE
39%
29%
32%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
ADE
0 - 0
BRI
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
BRI
2 - 1
CCM
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
CCM
0 - 2
BRI
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BRI
4 - 2
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
BRI
3 - 1
SYD
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
ADE
0 - 0
BRI
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |