Adelaide United II vs Para Hills Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
12º
6º
22
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
57.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 62.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MOD
4 - 4
ADE
37%
21%
42%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 4
ADE
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 2
ADE
54%
20%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WHI
2 - 2
ADE
31%
21%
48%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 1
ADE
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 0
PAR
63%
20%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
MOD
18%
19%
63%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +3 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 0
SAP
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 2
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
ADO
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |