Adelaide Raiders vs South Adelaide Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
9º
9º
11
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Raiders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ADO
2 - 1
ADE
26%
21%
54%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 0
NEM
16%
21%
63%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 1
ADE
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 2
ADE
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 3
MOD
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
South Adelaide Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 1
WHI
19%
19%
62%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
6 - 1
SAP
76%
15%
8%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 3
ADE
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 0
SAP
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 2
ADO
38%
23%
38%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |