Adelaide Raiders vs Modbury Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
35.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
9º
9º
38
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 40.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 59.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Raiders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 0
ADE
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 2
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 2
WHI
57%
21%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 3
ADE
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 0
ADE
31%
23%
47%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 1
WHI
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 1
MOD
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 0
ADE
46%
22%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SAP
0 - 4
MOD
28%
21%
51%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 1
ADO
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |