Adelaide Raiders vs Adelaide United II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
53.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
9º
9º
29
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 57.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Raiders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 4
ADE
66%
19%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 1
CAM
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
ADE
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WHI
3 - 1
ADE
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 2
ADE
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Adelaide United II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ADE
4 - 1
WHI
51%
22%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ADE
4 - 2
ADE
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ADE
4 - 0
ADE
45%
24%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +3 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SAP
2 - 4
ADE
21%
19%
60%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 2
ADO
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |